About

The purpose of this meeting is to bring together mathematical biologists and statisticians to share ideas about best practices for inference across a range of application areas in mathematical biology.

Crucially, it will facilitate a dialogue between these two communities which speak largely different mathematical languages. The conference will focus on inference for computationally “expensive” systems in mathematical biology, such as systems of coupled, highly nonlinear ordinary and partial differential equations.

Key outcomes of the conference will be to identify those application areas most in need of new inference methods and to expose mathematical biologists to recently developed statistical approaches.

Venue

The conference will be held in the Mathematical Institute at the University of Oxford (map).

Schedule

Monday

Time Slot Title
08:30-09:30 Registration / breakfast -
09:30-10:00 Introduction by conference organisers -
10:00-10:30 Ruth Baker
University of Oxford
Efficient Bayesian inference for mechanistic modelling with high-throughput data
10:30-11:00 Tom Thorne
University of Surrey
Parameter inference with topological approximate bayesian computation
11:00-11:30 Coffee break -
11:30-12:00 Marina Riabiz
King's College London
Kernel Stein discrepancy minimization for MCMC thinning in cardiac electrophysiology
12:00-12:30 Peter Challenor
University of Exeter
History Matching - an alternative way of inference for biological systems
12:30-13:00 Richard Creswell
University of Oxford
Improved Bayesian inference for ODEs using adjoint methods for gradient-based sampling and adaptive step size selection
13:00-14:00 Lunch -
14:00-15:30 Poster session -
15:30-15:45 Coffee break -
15:45-16:15 George Deligiannidis
University of Oxford
Some results on MCMC algorithms for intractable likelihoods
16:15-16:45 Solveig van der Vegt
University of Oxford
Practical parameter identifiability applied to a model of autoimmune myocarditis
16:45-17:15 Alexander Zarebski
University of Oxford
Estimating transmission and prevalence from sequence, occurrence, (and possibly serological) data
18:00-22:00 Conference dinner
New College bar, from 18:00, dinner at 19:15 (optional; ticket required)

Tuesday

Time Slot Title
08:00-09:00 Breakfast -
09:00-09:30 Heikki Haario
Lappeenranta University of Technology
Statistical calibration of pattern formation models
09:30-10:00 Aden Forrow
University of Oxford
Measuring the accuracy of likelihood-free inference
10:00-10:30 Coffee break -
10:30-11:00 Jere Koskela
University of Warwick
Nonreversible MCMC for latent phylogenetic trees
11:00-11:30 Kris Parag
University of Bristol
Quantifying the relative information in noisy epidemic time series
11:30-12:00 Michael Clerx
University of Nottingham
Four ways to fit an ion channel model
12:00-12:30 Group photo -
12:30-13:30 Lunch -
13:30-14:00 RĂ©mi Bardenet
Ecole Centrale de Lille
Monte Carlo methods based on repulsive point processes for generic expensive models
14:00-14:30 Alejandra D Herrera Reyes
University of Nottingham
Uncertainty and error in SARS-CoV-2 epidemiological parameters inferred from population-level epidemic models
14:30-15:30 Coffee break and poster session -
15:30-16:30 Discussion session
How best to share knowledge about inference methods
16:30-16:45 Closing remarks -